5–9 de octubre de 2026
America/Asuncion zona horaria
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Mathematical modeling of the spread of plant viruses incorporating biological control and agricultural management practices

6 oct 2026, 11:40
20m
Bloque I/2-2 - I06 (FPUNA)

Bloque I/2-2 - I06

FPUNA

70
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Presentación Oral Epidemiología matemática Epidemiología matemática

Ponente

Dr. Juan Pablo Gutiérrez Jara (Universidad Católica del Maule)

Descripción

The proliferation of vector-borne diseases in crops has led to significant economic losses. Certain agricultural management practices, including grafting and pruning, can facilitate the spread of these diseases among crops. Among various vector-control mitigation strategies, biological control is a primary approach. This study introduces a mathematical SEIR-type model that employs impulsive differential equations to characterize disease dynamics in crop and vector populations. The model incorporates three transmission routes: grafting, pruning, and vector-mediated transmission. Grafting, pruning, and biological vector control are modeled as discrete events occurring at specific time points. Additionally, the model accounts for the influence of human risk perception on the implementation of agricultural management strategies.

References

  1. Vogt-Geisse, K., Correa, M. C., Gutiérrez-Jara, J. P., & Daane, K. M. (2025). Modeling the Effect of the Biological Control of Pseudococcus viburni Signoret (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) on Grapevine Leafroll Virus Spread. Plants, 14(19), 3043.

  2. Correa, M. C., Gutiérrez-Jara, J. P., Vogt-Geisse, K., Benitez, H., Pérez, L. M., Fleisch, A., ... & Kreiter, P. (2024). Better alone than in bad company? Modeling the intra-guild predation and release timing in the biological control of Pseudococcus viburni. Journal of Pest Science, 97(4), 1913-1926.

  3. Gutiérrez-Jara, J. P., Vogt-Geisse, K., Correa, M. C., Vilches-Ponce, K., Pérez, L. M., & Chowell, G. (2023). Modeling the impact of agricultural mitigation measures on the spread of sharka disease in sweet cherry orchards. Plants, 12(19), 3442.

Autor

Dr. Juan Pablo Gutiérrez Jara (Universidad Católica del Maule)

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